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Yankees (Sabathia)/Rays (Price) Over 7 (7:05 PM EST)
Both the Yankees and the Rays send out their aces in tonight’s showdown at the Trop but based on current form, it won’t be easy to make a case for this one staying under the total. C.C. Sabathia has had a nightmare summer for the Bronx Bombers. The big southpaw in 2-3 with a 9.16 ERA over his last seven starts. The over is 15-9 in his starts this year, 8-4 high in his road starts where his whopping 5.66 road ERA is a career worst. The over is 10-5 in the Yankees last 15. David Price has ben very ordinary in his last couple of starts giving up six runs and 18 baserunners in his L12 innings of work. The over is 10-7 in his 17 starts iincluding 5-3 at the Trop where is season ERA is 3.84. Price (3.76) has never been much of a mystery to the Yanks and the over is 12-5 in his 17 LT starts vs the Bronx. The Rays have hammered lefties for quite a while before this year and last year would have been a play in the blind at home in the last three years. Tampa Bay went long ball last night, homering four times against Kuroda who hadn’t allowed a dinger in 57+ innings. They figure to tee off an a guy who has been basically throwing batting practice for the last three months.
Recommendation: Yankees/Rays Over 7
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