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Free Play: New Orleans -3.5 over Carolina (December 8, 2013 8:30 PM EST)
This is a marquee matchup with plenty of playoff ramifications as the Carolina Panthers (winners of eight straight SU and ATS)) taking on the New Orleans Saints who are unbeaten (5-0-1 ATS) at home. The Panthers are on a major roll on have enjoyed success against the Whodats, sweeping the series last year and rocking a 12-5 ATS all-time record in the Super Dome. That said, the Saints are killers at home avgg 33 points-per-game winning by 6-24-21-18-32-3 in going 6-0. By contrast, the vaunted Brees-led New Orleans offense averages just 18 ppg on the road. The Panthers are 3-1 as a dog this year and are 8-0 in their L8 as an way dog with five straight up wins but we think that time is running out on this Cinderella. The Panthers are winning all the close games this year that they’ve lost in the first two years of the Rivera/Cam Newton regime and that could come to a screeching halt here. Not the greatest of spots for the homies who were embarrassed on Monday night and had well documented travel difficulties getting home. Payton should be able to negate that and figure out a way to win here. NFC South home teams are 7-1 ATS this year and 5-0 when favored. Look for that run to continue here with New Orleans rebounding with a 28-20 win.
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